Monday, November 04, 2013

Pile of Dog Schiff

I found this Bloomberg article on Peter Schiff's dystopian outlook pathetic.  Here's some optimistic thinking:
Schiff, 50, isn’t fazed that gold is heading for its first annual price drop in 13 years, or that Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has called it a “slam-dunk sell.” He predicts bullion will reverse its 21 percent year-to-date decline and probably surge 52 percent to reach a record $2,000 an ounce within a year. That’s just the beginning: Before President Barack Obama leaves office in 2017 the U.S. will default, the dollar will collapse, hyperinflation will strike and gold will skyrocket, he says.

“I’m waiting for the dollar crash, I’m waiting for the real crisis to hit that I know will benefit gold,” Schiff said Oct. 18 over lunch of spinach-and-beet salad and stewed rabbit in the sun room after the radio show. “The longer it takes, the longer I have to wait for that payday. But the longer it takes, the bigger that payday is going to be.”
Goldman Sachs predicts gold near $1,000 an ounce, half of Schiff's prediction. This passage is encouraging:
The unabashed gold bug’s Euro Pacific Capital Inc. manages a $20 million mutual fund that invests in stocks related to the metal and lost 4.5 percent since it began in July. The Philadelphia Stock Exchange Gold and Silver Index slid 2.9 percent in the same period.
A $20 million mutual fund is nothing, so people aren't flocking to his theories.  The fund has under performed its index by a wide margin, which is probably to due in part to high fees.  Not only has he been wrong in his outlook, he has been worse than the index, and is getting paid for this poor performing, bunker-mentality advice.

No comments: